Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to give it its best shot. With up to date news and a little however feisty 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly anticipating the unpredictable. Join us as we try to answer humankind's hardest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pushing questions that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at forecasting the future (and have seen some appealing enhancements - research study paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is really on the smaller side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its best forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We postured the following questions to our AI and evaluated its reaction. While we have actually seen forecast improvements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, trademarketclassifieds.com I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her buddies and family to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.
Some fans are delighted, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.
I think the key points are the speculation and his . While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the odds and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, thinking about all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the extremely bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its just a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.
Alright, I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand just what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it seems like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The article points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I likewise require to consider the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than five appears like a significant number but possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the method, and the probability that they'll use it a number of times, specifically if it's reliable early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity
While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That appears significant since it reveals he's done it in the past, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent short articles, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's likewise included in a feud with Drake, which may offer him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel suit from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any controversial songs in the performance. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a danger that such material might be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making bold proceed big stages. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might provide him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public performances.
But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal issues, and forum.pinoo.com.tr the event's context-the possibility appears to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity
Lets be sincere, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't suggest to trigger offense which he really found it funny himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Looking at the articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and likes cheeseburgers. There's a short article specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who enjoys eating, especially with his group. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, particularly if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% chance
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and thinks anything can take place when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to find out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may affect this prediction.
First, I go through the articles provided. They all discuss the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually shown up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based purely on history, videochatforum.ro tails has a minor edge, however it's not a big distinction.
However, I remember that the outcome of a coin toss is normally thought about random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making forecasts, often people weigh historic data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I should think about whether this historical predisposition should affect the possibility.
After considering it, I choose that while the historical data reveals a small choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely believe the exact same. BUT, its official now because our AI says the opportunities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of short articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable contact recent video games, especially the AFC National championship. That does seem to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their team loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ludicrous." They state there's no evidence of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may suggest there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some fact to it.
Looking at the posts, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that analytical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been penalized more given that 2022. That's interesting because if they were getting special treatment, you might expect fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting everything together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero because you can't eliminate every possibility, however exceptionally not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.
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Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says
Abe Pulver edited this page 2025-02-10 06:22:28 +01:00